Friday, January 18, 2013

Kacsmar: Ravens wish to win, Patriots really need to win

On Sunday, the New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens every will perform inside their third AFC Championship game above the previous 6 many years, the Patriots winning each and also the Ravens losing each, together with final year's 23-20 heartbreaker in Foxboro. It is also the third time the teams have met within the playoffs while in the previous 4 many years.



No meeting appears much more evenly matched, and that is the very first rematch within a conference championship due to the fact the Dallas Cowboys and San Francisco 49ers met 3 many years inside a row (1992-94).



It may very well be the last game of your wonderful occupation for Ray Lewis, and potential Hall of Fame security Ed Reed isn't far behind him for retirement. As a result, the Ravens possess a smaller sized window of chance, however they will be the secondary story.



If your New England Patriots fall at your home or fail to win the Super Bowl this yr, it's going to carry on the best run of playoff disappointment in NFL historical past.



Patriots should validate their record success


Although coach Bill Belichick and quarterback Tom Brady won 3 Super Bowls with each other from 2001-2004, that was an eternity ago. The only other present Patriots to get won a Super Bowl along with the crew are Deion Branch (backup receiver) and Vince Wilfork (being a rookie in 2004).



New England's regular-season accomplishment has only elevated, but no extra championships have come. The Patriots did come excruciatingly near 3 times, losing two Super Bowls on last-minute touchdown drives through the New York Giants and blowing the biggest lead ever inside a championship game (18 factors), losing towards the Indianapolis Colts.



The 2007 season started off with controversy soon after the Spygate story of illegal videotaping broke, questioning the validity of New England's historic results. Belichick answered with among the most dominant seasons in background.


Although they have been even now ahead on the curve offensively in people days, in 2007 the Patriots modified the dynamic of their group by including receivers Randy Moss and Wes Welker, the latter defining the part in the slot receiver. There was small comparison with their championship teams, which have been created on robust defenses.



New England's 2007 offense became the primary to make use of the shotgun on a lot more than 50 % of their plays, making use of components in the spread offense Belichick picked up on from university coach Urban Meyer.



The outcomes had been beautiful because the 2007 Patriots scored a record 589 factors. Brady threw a record 50 touchdown passes with Moss catching 23 of them. Once the crew commenced 10-0, it had been outscoring opponents by 25.four factors per game, on the lookout like arguably quite possibly the most dominant group in historical past.



However the grind of the march on the great season took its toll. The Patriots fell behind by twelve factors on the New York Giants in Week 17, but came back to win to clinch the only 16-0 common season ever. Nevertheless, the game developed self-confidence during the Giants, who took down the Patriots (twelve.5-point favorites) in Super Bowl XLII, holding quite possibly the most prolific offense ever to just 14 factors. Brady, who scoffed at Giants' receiver Plaxico Burress' prediction of New England scoring 17 factors, was sacked 5 occasions immediately after enjoying pristine pass safety all season.



It nonetheless took the best drive in NFL background, engineered by Eli Manning, to obtain the 17-14 win, however the Giants pulled off the upset, leaving the Patriots using a hollow 18-1 finish.



Brady tore his ACL inside the initially quarter on the to start with game in 2008, however the Patriots nonetheless managed to finish 11-5 behind Matt Cassel. Having said that, they became just the 2nd 11-5 crew ever (1985 Denver Broncos) to not qualify for that playoffs.



Returning to start out the 2009 season, Brady led the Patriots to a thrilling comeback win more than Buffalo in Week one, but that will be Brady's only game-winning drive in the season. The 2009 group struggled to near video games out, which was the hallmark of New England's earlier achievement from the decade.



The season-changing minute came in Week ten once the Patriots (6-2) played the Colts (8-0) in prime time. The moment holding a 17-point lead while in the fourth quarter, the Patriots faced a 4th-and-2 at their very own 28, holding onto a 34-28 lead with two:08 left. Most coaches would punt, but Belichick kept the offense around the field. Brady's pass to Kevin Faulk was brief in the initial down, and Peyton Manning threw the game-winning touchdown with 0:13 left within a 35-34 comeback win.


From that stage the Patriots completed just 4-4, lost Welker to injury in Week 17, and hosted the Ravens while in the Wild Card round. Ray Rice started out the game with an 83-yard touchdown run, and Brady turned the ball more than 3 times from the to start with quarter. Baltimore led 24-0 at that stage, and went on to win 33-14. The Ravens lost in New England by a 27-21 last in Week four.



In 2010 the Patriots once again started off to evolve their offense just after drafting tight ends Rob Gronkowski and Aaron Hernandez. They completed the normal season on an eight-game winning streak, turning the ball above just a single time (+23 in turnover differential), and averaging 37.four factors per game (no less than 31 factors in just about every game). No efficiency was additional amazing than a 45-3 rout from the Jets in Week 13.



The 2010 Patriots scored 518 factors. Brady won his 2nd MVP award, turning into the primary unanimous assortment ever. He threw 36 touchdowns and only 4 interceptions, going a record 335 pass attempts with out an interception.



This was the scariest group getting into the playoffs lately. Acquiring clinched the league's very best record (14-2), the Patriots had currently beaten the Steelers (39-26), Jets (45-3), Bears (36-7) and Packers (31-27). People 4 teams ended up becoming the last 4 in 2010, because the Patriots fell flat on their encounter at your home while in the Divisional round against the Jets.



Brady threw an interception on his initial possession, snapping his streak. Mark Sanchez confidently guided the Jets to an upset win, though the scoring juggernaut managed 11 factors within the game's to start with 58 minutes against Rex Ryan's defense. Two late scores have been as well small also late because the Jets won 28-21.



From 2006-2011, Brady set a NFL record with 31 consecutive wins in the home inside the typical season. But hidden during the streak had been these two dwelling playoff losses.



In 2011 the Patriots once more reshaped their offense, totally using Gronkowski and Hernandez, now inside their 2nd season, for the tune of 169 receptions for two,237 yards and 24 touchdowns. Gronkowski had the biggest getting season ever by a tight finish with 18 complete touchdowns.



Brady passed for five,235 yards (2nd most in NFL background), and also the Patriots scored 513 factors inside the season. However they once more couldn't remedy Tom Coughlin's Giants, losing in the two the normal season and Super Bowl, scoring 17 factors this time within a 21-17 reduction.



Right here the Patriots are once more in 2012, scoring 557 factors while in the normal season, that's the third-highest complete in NFL background. Among their most current offensive developments is definitely the utilization of one-word play-calls to run a no-huddle offense so quick the defense can't even get set (here is taking a look at you, Houston). It had been a further stellar typical season, and now they sit two wins far from that elusive ring.



But we've got observed this in advance of. During the finish, a group the Patriots played inside the frequent season has come back to beat them, that is what has took place all 6 occasions from the playoffs because 2005. It may very well be Baltimore, who previously beat the Patriots 31-30 in Week three (in Baltimore), or it might be the San Francisco 49ers within the Super Bowl, who also beat the Patriots this yr.



Virtually all the gamers to the Patriots will not understand what it can be want to win a Super Bowl, however the shadow Belichick and Brady carry more than the group meshes their previous title accomplishment collectively along with the regular-season records due to the fact 2007.



These two eras are mutually unique, as well as failure to win a championship on this offense-driven era need to reflect much more poorly to the crew, Belichick and Brady than it has to date.



The Patriots are 76-20 (.792) within the standard season given that 2007, and that is on the list of ideal six-year runs ever. Additionally it is the most effective run to not create a championship.



Regardless of every one of the offensive records, the Patriots haven't sealed the deal due to the fact that final Super Bowl win practically eight many years ago. New England has presently had 3 from the highest-scoring teams in NFL historical past and only managed to score 14, 21 and 17 factors within a season-ending reduction for which it had been the favored every single time.



Like a 9-point preferred in excess of Baltimore, the Patriots naturally are unable to win the Super Bowl this Sunday, nevertheless they can eliminate a further shot at a single right after however one more historic normal season.



The possibilities are operating out for Brady and Belichick. Although these two can rest on their laurels, historical past is not going to deal with the Patriots as kindly without the need of a championship to validate this era's good results.



Ravens seek out breakthrough win and best ending for Lewis


Nobody needs to be sleeping around the Ravens. The return of leader Ray Lewis has lifted the crew, because they hope to make that storybook ending that has a walk-off Super Bowl victory, loved in previous many years by John Elway (1998) and Jerome Bettis (2005).



The Ravens are within the AFC Championship game for your third time due to the fact 2008, the start off with the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco era. Once more they're over the road, owning lost 23-14 in Pittsburgh (2008) following Flacco threw an interception returned to get a touchdown by Troy Polamalu.



There is certainly the bitter taste of final year's reduction, by which Patriots defensive back Sterling Moore knocked what would are actually the game-winning touchdown from Lee Evans' hands with 22 seconds left. Seconds later on, Billy Cundiff rushed and missed the game-tying kick, just the 2nd time in historical past a kicker missed a do-or-die field aim in the championship game or Super Bowl.


(The very first time was once the Buffalo Bills' Scott Norwood missed the game-winner in Super Bowl XXV, lifting then-New York Giants defensive coordinator Belichick together with the win.



Harbaugh came from Philadelphia, exactly where he was the exclusive teams coordinator for the duration of the Eagles' streak of 3 straight losses during the NFC Championship (2001-2003). His group has adequate big-game knowledge to obtain in excess of the hump, nonetheless it is constantly a difficult job to win in Foxboro.



Baltimore is 2-4 against New England because 2007, but every single reduction was a nail-biter that went down on the wire. These teams know one another nicely, as well as the Ravens can stage to a couple of good indicators just after dealing with a so-so frequent season.



The Ravens by now have beaten the Patriots this yr, along with the 503 yards of offense they piled up that evening would be the most New England has permitted this season. The Patriots have enhanced on defense considering the fact that Week three, but so has Baltimore.



The postseason has become the only time this yr the Ravens have had their large 4 on defense intact. Which is Lewis, Ed Reed, Terrell Suggs and Haloti Ngata. When they've got faced 174 offensive snaps the final two weeks, this defense is back to generating plays and limiting factors. They are going to also get some assistance through the truth that Rob Gronkowski is out to the Patriots.



If winning a Super Bowl as of late is extra about peaking with the appropriate time, needing to conquer adversity, then the Ravens match the bill. They've got the rallying cry to win a single for Lewis, Flacco is thriving with major pass plays right after the group replaced offensive coordinator Cam Cameron, and soon after the Giants, no crew has provided the Patriots extra difficulties than the Ravens.



New England's not the only steady winner on this game that lacks a latest championship. The Ravens are just the sixth crew to ever win a playoff game in 5 consecutive seasons, nevertheless they would be the only crew to not attain a minimum of a single Super Bowl. Only the 2000-04 Eagles failed to win a Super Bowl, when another 4 teams all came by a minimum of as soon as.



With legacies over the line, and windows closing on a lot of the game's greats, this really should be a traditional AFC Championship.


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